The “Great American Eclipse” was a great distraction for a day, and it was pretty amazing, but Texas may have a problem in the form of a Tropical storm, or even Hurricane, Harvey as early as Friday evening.
As of this morning, the remnants of Harvey’s circulation are located over the Yucatan Peninsula and moving briskly northwestward into the Bay of Campeche. Although the satellite imagery of “Harvey” isn’t all that impressive, the atmospheric conditions and sea surface temps look to give Harvey new life in short order.
The National Hurricane Center has a “Harvey” at 70% chance of development in the next 48 hours, and 90% over the next 5 days. We have to assume that once an established circulation develops, that intensification could occur very quickly.
The forecast models continue to shift North and East with each run bringing the threat of torrential flooding rain and possibly tropical storm or hurricane winds to the Middle or Upper Texas coast – including the Houston/Galveston area. The Weather Prediction has already placed a nearly 8 inch rainfall bullseye near the Houston Metro, with most of the rainfall occurring between late Friday night and Sunday evening.
The latest forecast models as of this morning are also troubling for Texas.
This situation will continue to evolve and we’ll keep you updated as new information becomes available.
Timeframe:
• Redevelopment – next 48 hours.
• Strengthening – Thursday and Friday.
• Lashing the Texas Coast – Friday evening.
• Landfall – Late Friday Night
• Flooding Threat – Late Friday thru Monday.
Plan accordingly!
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